Black Swans

From The Black Swan blurb:

"A black swan is a highly improbable event with three principal characteristics: It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random and more predictable, that it was."

Nassim Taleb's Fooled by Randomnes, The Black Swan and Antifragile have been on my permanent list of reading since the first of them was published.

These are books that I read and reread — because bewitched by everlasting biases I keep falling for the illusion of order and preplanned reality.

Basically, we do not  realize how important are accidental and unexpected events and actions. We tend to assume that reality is a result of logical progress. We ignore all blind alleys that are long forgotten. Fooled by narrative bias and history and post factum explanations we think that everything is accounted for.

It seems that Nassim Taleb made pursuing the role of unexpected/random the goal of his life, I am sitting in a large auditorium of his staunch fans...